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Cringely Pans Self-Driving Car Hype, Says They’re Years Away

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In what may be his final year of technology predictions, columnist Robert X. Cringely argues “I can’t say that we’re going to see anything beyond more beta tests of self-driving cars in 2019… We simply aren’t ready and probably won’t be for years to come….”

“The problem isn’t with the self-driving cars, it’s with the cars that aren’t self-driving, cars that are driven by idiots like me.”
It will eventually happen. Once half the fleet has been replaced with cars that could be self-drivers if we allowed them to be, then there will be a huge financial incentive to get the other half off the street. This will be especially the case if climate change is still accelerating. I’m guessing that most cars from 2020-on could be self-driving with only a software upgrade, which is why Elon Musk is predicting Tesla will have full autonomy by the end of 2019. But notice that Elon isn’t predicting Tesla will be allowed to have its cars drive themselves everywhere…

So why is the world talking so much about self-driving cars and full autonomy? Some of it is Tesla hype, some of it is marketing as the car companies try to get us to buy cars that will eventually be self-driving, but probably not until their second owners. And the other reason why we’re talking so much about self-driving cars is because Uber is planning to go public later this year…an IPO that will go smoother if the driving public thinks autonomous cars are something that we’ll be seeing soon. Uber has a labor problem. If it can spin a story that surly and expensive human drivers are soon to be replaced with electrons, that will be very reassuring to Wall Street. But as I explained, it also isn’t true.

The world isn’t yet ready — something Uber and Tesla and all the others will suddenly admit in about a year (post-IPO).
Cringely also argues that the problem isn’t just the “millions of drivers who are still controlling their vehicles the old fashion way, which is often in a barely competent fashion…”

“We keep our cars longer because they don’t rust and we can’t afford to replace them so often. The result is that while we could expect a complete turnover in car technology every decade, now it takes closer to two decades.”

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Awesome 2019 year-end conference specials from Gallagher

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As the year speeds towards December, businesses big and small are looking to host their year-end conferences.

And who better to choose than South Africa’s premier multi-purpose conference venue – Gallagher Convention Centre.

To make the choice even easier, Gallagher has amazing year-end conference specials on offer for events of any size.

These year-end conference packages can be booked for a half- or full-day, starting at R415pp (excl. Vat).

Year-end specials are only valid for bookings made before 31 March 2020.

Gallagher’s discounted year-end conference packages are outlined below.

Half-day conference special

Gallagher’s half-day conference special includes the following:

  • Venue hire for a conference venue and a breakfast/lunch venue.
  • Secure parking.
  • Refreshments on arrival.
  • Mid-morning refreshments.
  • Chef’s choice lunch selection with 5 three-course menus to choose from.
  • Notepads and pens.
  • Mints and water.

For each of the refreshment breaks, conference organisers have the choice of selecting one sweet or one savoury option. Two refreshment options can also be selected, where 50% of each item will be catered to guests. All the refreshment options are Halaal.

The half-day conference package costs R415pp (excl. Vat).

Full-day conference special

Gallagher’s full-day conference special includes the following:

  • Venue hire for a conference and lunch venue.
  • Secure parking.
  • Refreshments on arrival.
  • Mid-morning refreshments.
  • Chef’s choice lunch selection with 5 three-course menus to choose from.
  • Mid-afternoon refreshments.
  • Notepads and pens.
  • Mints and water.

For each of the refreshment breaks, Gallagher offers conference organisers the choice of selecting one sweet or one savoury option. Two refreshment options can also be selected, where 50% of each item will be catered to guests. All the refreshment options are Halaal.

The full-day conference package costs R440pp (excl. Vat).

Gallagher Convention Centre boasts a team of experts within their respective fields, which are on-hand to see to your every need.

Their management team has over 380 years of collective industry experience, and their secure parking can accommodate over 5,000 vehicles – making it a no brainer to host your event with them.

What’s more, is that Gallagher also offers a single-call solution where organisers can secure pre-qualified suppliers without having to look any further.

To book your function today call +2711 266 3000 or email them via [email protected].

This article was published in partnership with Gallagher Convention Centre.

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India thump Proteas, sweep Test series 3-0

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Ranchi – India beat South Africa by an innings and 202 runs in the third Test to sweep the series 3-0 in Ranchi on Tuesday.

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Debutant spinner Shahbaz Nadeem claimed the final two wickets on successive balls to dismiss the Proteas for 133 while following on in just the second over on day four. The Proteas started the day on 132-8.

Theunis de Bruyn was out on his overnight score of 30 after coming in to the XI for concussed Dean Elgar, who got a nasty hit on the helmet off paceman Umesh Yadav on Monday.



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Justin Trudeau’s Liberals projected to form Canada’s next government: TV

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TORONTO (Reuters) – Canada’s Liberal Party is set to form a minority government after Monday’s federal election, the Canadian Broadcasting Corp projected. That means Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will have to rely on support from other parties to govern.

Liberal Party supporters react while watching the live federal election results at the Palais des Congres in Montreal, Quebec, Canada October 21, 2019. REUTERS/Stephane Mahe

COMMENTS:

DAVID MOSCROP, POLITICAL SCIENTIST AT UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA:

“We’re seeing a much-needed chastening of the Liberal Party.

“I think when parties are forced to cooperate in Parliament they tend to produce great outcomes.

“Some of [the result] is a backlash against Liberal arrogance and entitlements. The Liberals set the bar so high they’re bound to run into it.”

KARL SCHAMOTTA, DIRECTOR GLOBAL MARKETS STRATEGY AT CAMBRIDGE GLOBAL PAYMENTS:

“The (results) suggest that Mr. Trudeau will require the support of leftist opposition parties to enact important pieces of legislation. The strongly environmentalist, anti-corporation and social spending-friendly New Democratic Party is likely to assume the king-maker role, meaning that investment-friendly pipeline and infrastructure initiatives could struggle to win approval.

“This is likely to exert drag on a Canadian dollar that might otherwise ride solid economic data, favourable interest rate differentials, and improving risk appetite higher.”

DANIEL BÉLARD, DIRECTOR OF MCGILL INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF CANADA:

“The Bloc Quebecois is surging in Quebec. The Liberals are not falling apart in Quebec altogether, they are slightly behind the Bloc in popular vote but they …. they’re not collapsing altogether. I will not say this was unexpected, the polls were quite accurate this time around.

“It’s a clear defeat for Andrew Scheer and the Conservatives.”

JOHN MANLEY, SENIOR BUSINESS ADVISOR AT BENNETT JONES, FORMER CANADIAN FORMER FINANCE, INDUSTRY MINISTER:

“A minority government always makes things difficult … the government doesn’t control parliamentary committees, they have trouble keeping their agenda moving, they may have to do things or not do things that they would otherwise be inclined to do based on needing the support of another party.

“I think a Liberal government supported by the (New Democratic Party) is likely going to lean farther left.

“It raises a series of issues about what are the demands that an NDP party would make. What’s the price of governing going to be? And I think businesses are going to be reluctant to make any moves until they get some satisfaction around that. I suspect most businesses would rather a small Liberal majority to a Liberal minority with the NDP supporting it.”

GREG TAYLOR, PORTFOLIO MANAGER AT PURPOSE INVESTMENTS

“Markets don’t like uncertainty so it will all depend on what coalition they can come up with and how sustainable that will become.”

“The energy stocks will be the most interesting to watch tomorrow and could be lower. The other fear was higher capital gains taxes and that is too soon to tell but would be a negative across all sectors.”

“The bigger problem is it seems that Canadians have never been more divided and the next government really needs to work to correct that. Alberta is at risk of a broader separatist movement and that would be a major negative for Canada.”

“Overall this should be pretty much as expected and markets shouldn’t move too much on it.” 

Reporting by Fergal Smith and Moira Warburton; Editing by Denny Thomas and Peter Cooney

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